Fisher Investments News |
| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 05/15/2012 |
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When April's U.S. unemployment came out, one headline perfectly captured the news and popular reaction: "Unemployment Rate Hits Three-Year Low. Hooray? No, Boo!" Headline unemployment fell to 8.1%, but payroll gains slowed and missed expectations, fueling fears of weaker employment growth from here.
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| | By Edward Krudy, Reuters, 05/09/2012 |
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Elections in Greece and France over the weekend have ushered in a new period of uncertainty for financial markets that could stand in the way of the easy-money rally that boosted stocks at the start of the year.
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| | By Amanda Williams, Real Clear Markets, 05/07/2012 |
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There's been much discussion lately of America's impending "fiscal cliff." And some have recently bandied about the term "taxmageddon" to describe the likely scenario if politicians don't take certain actions by the year's end.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 05/07/2012 |
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US and global corporate earnings have grown for nine straight quarters—nearly all big, double-digit quarterly growth. Revenue, a more direct reflection of the growing global economy, has also grown consistently of late. But now, consensus expectations are full-year 2012 earnings growth will be slower than 2011's 15%.
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| | By Bernard Condon, MSN, 04/27/2012 |
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It's simple to understand, and has a nice ring to it. It's made some investors look like geniuses recently. Say it enough and you might even believe it.
Too bad "Sell in May and go away" doesn't work.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 04/21/2012 |
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For decades, many U.S. investors have feared the decline of American manufacturing. Some point to manufacturing's falling share of the economy, others to the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. However, a close look at global data shows America remains a manufacturing powerhouse and leads a worldwide wave of productivity gains.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 04/20/2012 |
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San Francisco has decided to get patriotic.
BART, the Bay Area’s public rail line, will replace 775 trains in its aging fleet, giving preference to vendors who build the trains in America. The idea is to help create American jobs—a lofty goal.
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| | By Ken Fisher, Forbes, 04/19/2012 |
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Most readers know that I am an ardent student of market history and a firm believer that it’s prone to repeating itself. So I’m often asked what the current era echoes. My answer: the early 1990s.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 04/12/2012 |
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The heretofore undefined “Buffett rule” got a bit less murky recently, as the senate introduced the “Paying a Fair Share Act of 2012" in March and the president commented on the proposal yesterday.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 04/05/2012 |
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America’s least corrupt state is . . . New Jersey.
That’s not a punchline.
The Center for Public Integrity recently released its State Integrity Investigation, aimed at measuring state corruption. In their words “The Investigation is not simply a tally of scandals that have occurred in state governments.” Fair enough, except they don’t really define what “corruption” means.
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| | By Ken Fisher, Interactive Investor, 04/04/2012 |
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Stocks are having a fine year - global stocks in pounds are up nearly 10% in the first quarter. Yet, instead of cheering, folks are gloomy - a positive factor that will boost stocks higher still in 2012.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 04/04/2012 |
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It's an election year, which means we should all expect plenty of tax policy, debt and deficit rhetoric. And rhetoric can get heated -- but before getting swept away, here are some important factors to keep in mind.
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| | By Peter Robison, Bloomberg Businessweek, 03/29/2012 |
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Fisher Investments in November opened a campus near the city’s lesser-known namesake, Vancouver, Washington. Residents of the town of about 161,800 enjoy the double benefit of no state income tax in Washington while living close to sales-tax free Oregon.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 03/28/2012 |
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Ah, the partisan electricity of an election year! The hot-gas-bag-bluster pollutes our media-saturated senses all year round. It's a blessed thing for the stock market, and in a variety of ways. Call me non-civic, but investors shouldn't care a wit who wins the White House this year.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 03/28/2012 |
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Is happiness more important than economic growth?
Many argue GDP is a faulty economic measure. I have my own quibbles with GDP. While the top-line number isn’t a perfect indicator of economic health, the underlying data is instructive, and it does allow for more of an apples-to-apples comparison across nations.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 03/27/2012 |
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Since the peripheral eurozone's debt troubles seized the spotlight in 2010, one fear has repeatedly cropped up: Contagion. Folks worried a Greek default would trigger credit default swaps (CDS), setting off a chain reaction of bank failures across the Continent. However, reality has thus far proved far more benign.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 03/23/2012 |
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For the first time in 26 years, I opened my eyes this morning and could see—thanks to capitalism.
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| | By Ken Fisher, Forbes, 03/21/2012 |
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Last year was a dismal year for Chinese stocks. The popular FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index of blue chips fell nearly 18%. This year it has already gained 7.9%, and I think Chinese stocks will shine in 2012.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 03/16/2012 |
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Happy birthday to the bull market, which turned three March 9. It’s been far from smooth sailing (what bull market is?) as the bull has contended near constantly with greatly exaggerated rumors of its death at the hands of some tiny European nations’ debt loads, “too-high” unemployment, a US double-dip (that never happened), contentious politics, etc.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 03/09/2012 |
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Chinese officials caused quite a stir when they lowered their 2012 economic growth target to 7.5%. Many already fretted a Chinese hard landing in 2012, and if Chinese growth were indeed to match the target, it would be the slowest expansion since 1990. However, recent history suggests Chinese growth should exceed those low expectations.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 03/07/2012 |
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Long-term forecasts are rarely sunny or even middling. In fact, they’re often fairly dystopian: Peak oil, peak gas, peak water, peak food, mass hysteria, zombie apocalypse.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 03/03/2012 |
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With aggregate eurozone GDP contracting in Q4 2011 and the European Commission forecasting a Continental recession in 2012, investors may wonder what a eurozone recession means for the global economy and equity markets.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 03/01/2012 |
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In our view, the bull market likely continues with gusto throughout 2012, with strongly positive equity returns. Sentiment remains dour -- investors continue to fear an imminent eurozone collapse, too much debt, a deteriorating U.S. economy, political turmoil, etc.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 02/29/2012 |
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Q4 2011 GDP growth was revised up to 3% from 2.8%. Which is nice, but backward looking. GDP calculations are inherently a bit wonky and a few basis-point revisions don’t matter much, particularly since GDP can be and frequently is revised significantly, even many years later.
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| | By Ken Fisher, Forbes, 02/27/2012 |
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You may remember that in my February column last year I predicted that 2011 would “frustrate bulls and bears alike—without a big directional trend” and “end up or down just by a hair.” I was right, but my stock picking could have been better.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 02/24/2012 |
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It seems the new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) believes a good way to protect you would be curtailing the practice of banks discretely covering your checks, instantaneously, should you overdraft.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 02/16/2012 |
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In our view, stock returns are strongly positive in 2012 and the world overall grows, even though the eurozone is likely a weak spot and may even go into recession in aggregate.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 02/15/2012 |
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With Ron Paul still in the running for president, it’s become popular (again) to call for a return to the gold standard.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 02/13/2012 |
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2011 was by nearly any count a volatile year chock full of news—the majority tied to the eurozone, specifically the countries known as the PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain).
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 02/07/2012 |
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Come April or May (ish?) Facebook plans to join the ranks of Tech IPOs, probably aiming to be more like Google and less like Pets.com. Though who knows?
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Ken Fisher and his firm’s Investment Policy Committee detail their market and macroeconomic forecast for the year ahead.
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| | By Fisher Investments, The Street, 02/06/2012 |
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Three years into the eurozone's peripheral debt saga, a ton of political and financial capital has been spent, the euro hasn't suddenly shattered and a eurozone-born financial panic hasn't erupted.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 01/31/2012 |
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Folks often talk as if gridlock is a bad thing. Then, there’s House Resolution 29, which would immediately withdraw the US from NAFTA.
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New educational video answers common questions about the US’s outstanding debt
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 01/27/2012 |
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It’s an election year! At this stage, it’s impossible to handicap who wins. But one thing’s certain: Expect all candidates to keep repeating the tired “US manufacturing is dying” bromide.
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| | By Fisher Investments, iStockAnalyst, 01/23/2012 |
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As the US debt ceiling closes in on its 105th increase in 94 years, investors' concerns over the US's debt load are returning to the fore. But are these concerns well-founded? The answers to these three common questions may provide surprising insight.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 01/20/2012 |
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Where are all the “January effect” headlines?
You know—all the “so goes January goes the year” stories”? Sometimes folks just focus on the first five days: “So goes the first five days goes the month goes the year.” Because if you believed in this “effect” you ought to be bullish. Which is perhaps why, in general, those who believe most in this myth are whistling and looking a different direction.
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New research graphic answers three key questions about America’s debt.
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| | By Lara Hoffmans, Forbes, 01/09/2012 |
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Did you know the US is about to raise the debt ceiling? For the 105th time?
Seems odd another increase is quietly pending since the penultimate increase (that’s right, there was one after that) in August last was preceded by a solid two months of political histrionics, name-calling and hyperbole. Then S&P downgraded the US!
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| | By Caroline Valetkevitch, Reuters, 01/06/2012 |
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Investors are about to find out if the economic woes in Europe are going to deliver a deep wound to U.S. company earnings instead of the mere scratch that many expect.
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| | By Joseph A. Giannone and Jessica Toonkel, Reuters, 01/05/2012 |
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With the new year comes a new round of bold predictions for financial markets.
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| | By Ken Fisher, Forbes, 01/03/2012 |
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I’m recently back from three weeks traveling in Europe. The trip has given me better perspective on the market’s current obsession—the troubled euro zone. To put it bluntly, I say, give ’em the finger—the Italian Finger, that is.
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